Discover how credibility theory helps actuaries use historical data to estimate risks and set insurance premiums; learn how ...

Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...

Discover how the Dutch Book Theorem reveals profit opportunities in betting and finance when probabilities are misjudged.

Background Annually, 4% of the global population undergoes non-cardiac surgery, with 30% of those patients having at least ...

Receive the the latest news, research, and presentations from major meetings right to your inbox. TCTMD ® is produced by the Cardiovascular Research Foundation ® (CRF). CRF ® is committed to igniting ...

The odds of the U.S. economy slipping into a recession have grown in recent months, according to global financial services company UBS. In an analysis cited by Fortune, the global financial services ...

A recent study introduces a groundbreaking method for early crop identification, leveraging the Bayesian Probability Update Model (BPUM). This innovative approach combines historical planting data ...

Many cybersecurity leaders kick off each new year with predictions for the year to come. You may have seen a deluge of them over the last month or so: "Cyberattacks will continue to be a problem." ...

cDepartment of Obstetrics, Gynaecology and Newborn Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia dDepartment of Paediatrics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia ...

Veteran trader Peter Brandt says Bitcoin is following a similar pattern from its past, which could lead to a $125,000 BTC price by New Year’s Eve. Bitcoin (BTC) price entered a strong price discovery ...

1 Cornell Center for Astrophysics and Planetary Science (CCAPS) and Department of Statistics and Data Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States 2 Department of Statistical Science, Duke ...