The threat of another government shutdown looms amid a Senate vote. Here's what prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi say, ...

Prediction market apps are thriving in Trump's second term, with traders betting on migrant deportations to election outcomes ...

Will there be another government shutdown in January? A Senate vote looms, here's what prediction markets say, and the latest ...

Despite some troubling developments, it's essential to continue seeking good long-term investment opportunities.

Key Takeaways Event contracts are viewed as information, but also assets, making it all the more difficult to figure out ...

One data provider, Australia-based Dysrupt Labs, has built a product using prediction markets' odds.

Legitimacy increasingly flows to whoever processes uncertainty first. Markets have optimized for speed. Democracy has been ...

By Michael S. Derby Jan 27 (Reuters) - BlackRock's chief bond investment manager Rick Rieder is now the clear favorite to ...

Kalshi and Polymarket have formed a prediction-market duopoly with 99% of global volume, leaving rivals little room to break ...

Both Kalshi and Polymarket, the two big prediction market platforms, were offering yes-or-no-style “mention markets” asking ...

What are the odds of a government shutdown this week? As the Senate tees up a vote, here's the latest chances, odds and predictions.