Some economists are predicting that US recession risk is rising, and a downturn could arrive before the year is out, but the supporting data to date is still thin. If the central bank does ease ...

Since the recent US government shutdown may prevent the release of the October inflation and labor market data, inflation proxies are considered here to assess what the Fed would do next. September's ...

Five recession indicators that were flashing a warning sign about the economy have since retreated. Ned Davis Research said its Recession Probability Model has plunged to 2%, suggesting "minimal odds" ...